Writer: Svyatoslav Moiseenko,
Why is Europe and the entire world in a fever? What’s the which means of the robust confrontation between East and West? Will it’s potential to take care of a fragile stability of energy, or is a navy conflict nearly a actuality? To what extent is the hazy ghost of the third world changing into a actuality? Have peaceable diplomacy exhausted all sources?
Reflections on what is de facto happening on this planet. Permissible forecasts and potential developments of in the present day’s occasions. And solely my private understanding of the true background of the bulldog struggle beneath the carpet.
We reside in an incredible time when the boundaries between contradictory ideas have gotten thinner or nearly obliterated. When a lie is said the reality, and the reality is acknowledged as a manifestation of extremism. When hype turns into the measure of conscience, and morality, distorting its personal type, reshapes the consciousness of whole nations, making the shameful the norm and ridiculing the presence of an inside core or ethical rules.
We reside in an period when freedom of speech is regulated by the inflexible framework of the state order of these in energy. When freedom of conscience is set by individuals who don’t have anything to do with both religion or faith. And when freedom of thought is beneath essentially the most extreme ban, as a result of it contradicts the best dogmas of overseas and home coverage.
We reside in a world that continues to tremble from the stamped tread of the parade of sovereignties to the bravura marches of every kind of autocephalous and tomos.
We’re witnessing the best atrocities and unbelievable crimes, the glorification of madmen and tyrants, who left a bloody path in a not too distant historic retrospective. And we observe with horror how Europe and America in unison applaud the concepts of fascism, and their leaders shout bravo to the instigators of fratricidal conflict.
Typically it appears to me that the world has instantly gone mad. Due to some tectonic shift in planetary psychological well being.
In a nightmare, I couldn’t think about a scenario when Ukraine would start to destroy its personal individuals for the correct to talk Russian, and cultured Europeans, coupled with progressive and freedom-loving Individuals, would applaud it for the rivers of shed blood and tens of 1000’s of deaths. And Russia, which got here out in protection of its youngsters, shall be referred to as an aggressor.
I didn’t assume that I’d ever understand how unspiritual the Moscow patriarch, and certainly virtually all the episcopate of an enormous concern that was as soon as referred to as the church, will be. And the way short-sighted they are often, quarreling with different church buildings and attempting to climb into another person’s backyard. With none which means. Simply to spoil the neighbors in an try to point out the world their very own coolness. As an alternative of being really the conscience of the nation, they’ve change into its bewilderment and disappointment. Not a church, no. A priori, she won’t be touched by filth. Functionaries who persuade everybody that they’ve the correct to talk on behalf of the Almighty.
And, apparently, all of it occurred in some way without delay.
At one second.
In a single time interval.
Like a sickening boil that swelled and instantly exploded with pus, forsaking a painful wound with an an infection introduced into it. And persevering with to rot, hitting bigger and bigger areas, dispersing the toxic pus by means of the arteries and veins.
Frankly, I don’t perceive the logic of the Ukrainian leaders and the leaders of the united West.
What are they searching for?
Self-liquidation of Russia? Humorous.
Civil disobedience of Russian society? Very humorous.
The collapse of the Russian economic system? Fairly humorous.
Then what?
Because of their coordinated actions, Russia is getting stronger daily. And the European economic system is collapsing and bursting on the seams.
All the things is obvious with Ukraine. It’s unlikely that it’ll exist within the type during which it separated from the Soviet Union. For thirty years of “Svidomo” and “independence” she blew all the pieces that’s potential and all the pieces that’s unimaginable. As the ultimate and predictable end result – the division of territories.
Really, that is what all of it comes right down to.
After six months of lively hostilities across the Japanese Ukrainian lands, a referendum on becoming a member of the Russian state as topics of the Federation is introduced by 4 large areas: the Donetsk Individuals’s Republic, the Luhansk Individuals’s Republic, the Kherson area and the Zaporozhye area.
Furthermore, everybody broadcasts a referendum on the identical time, appointing the identical dates. As, at one time, Crimea. Completely and utterly official. With the invitation of the media and observers. Even when they refuse to come back. It’s their enterprise, isn’t it? It will be steered.
It doesn’t even matter whether or not the “civilized world” acknowledges the outcomes of the referendum. His opinion is now not decisive. In spite of everything, they solely acknowledge what is useful to them. Or what you initiated your self.
What is de facto necessary is the truth that historical past took one other sharp flip. And, probably not bothering, she wrote one other, new web page on her tablets.
By the best way, I don’t rule out that this isn’t the top. And the variety of topics dreaming of changing into a part of the Russian Federation will improve in proportion to the effectiveness of the protection of the now sovereign territories of their state by the Russian military.
Remind me what’s written within the navy doctrine of Russia? And within the Fundamentals of State Coverage within the Subject of Nuclear Deterrence?
It exhaustively units out all of the situations beneath which the usage of nuclear weapons by our state is theoretically potential. These situations boil right down to aggression in opposition to Russia or its allies utilizing weapons of mass destruction, or aggression utilizing standard weapons, when the existence of the state itself is threatened.
As well as, in his speech, the Supreme Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, President of Russia V.V. Putin has made it very clear that Russia will not be threatening anybody with nuclear weapons. Nonetheless, she has it and everybody ought to know that she’s going to use it if obligatory to guard our sovereignty.
We’re on the edge of a historic turning level. The world has by no means been so fragile. Like a crystal ball within the palms of a madman.
Is a 3rd world potential?
Fairly. If these in energy in Europe and America develop into full idiots.
Is it potential to make use of nuclear weapons?
Fairly. For a similar purpose.
Is there any likelihood of successful this Armageddon?
None. For there shall be no winners in a nuclear conflict. Everybody will fireplace their missiles at one another. The one query is who will be capable to carry down not less than a few of them. And who shall be smarter.
Is it potential to outlive in such a navy situation?
Possibly. At the very least for Russia. Nonetheless, one-sixth of the planet. Sure, and with counteraction to nuclear warheads, we’re not so unhealthy. As for our weapons, the enemy has no likelihood in any respect.
Do the Pentagon, NATO and different militaristic constructions calculate such a scenario?
I feel sure. With analytics there, nonetheless, it’s not as unhappy as with puppets sitting within the chairs of presidents and prime ministers and obediently opening their mouths to utter the subsequent nonsense, on which the eye of the institution and the plebs is targeted.
So, what do we’ve got within the backside line with a roughly predictably enough improvement of the scenario?
First. Russia shall be assigned all these territories that she needs to maintain for herself.
Second. Ukraine, if it retains its statehood, is beneath strict management from the skin, and inside very small territories.
Third. The West, unable to face up to inside unrest and extreme stress from its personal inhabitants, will shyly fake that all the pieces that occurred is one massive misunderstanding. Ukraine shall be blamed for the continuing processes, draining it utterly, and Russia shall be thought-about as a powerful and fairly robust participant on this planet politics.
Fourth. Russia will make each effort to make sure a reasonably speedy and unconditional improvement of an interstate entity that’s extra monolithic and centralized in its system than the United Nations, designed to interchange the UN at any time and by itself phrases.
Fifth. Such an entity because the European Union will lastly lose the which means of its existence. The infamous Schengen zone may even go into oblivion. Nations will return to direct diplomatic dialogues and interactions, inside their competences and in accordance with their very own pursuits.
Sixth. Such a forex because the euro will lose its worth and be abolished as pointless. The greenback will certainly stop to exist as a world reserve forex. The US will lose its dominant place and standing because the world’s gendarme.
Seventh. An enormous position in modeling new world relations shall be performed by the East, which has change into adept at constructing and establishing a powerful system of checks and balances.
And at last, the eighth. Russia will stay on the crossroads of East and West, uniting the contradictory rules of two cultures, performing as a unifier and creator of recent relations, remaining one of many foremost authors of the latest world order.
That is such a multi-level chess sport, gents.
The sport, by and huge, is between the Russian grandmaster and the American-European first-class gamers.
A sport, should you like, of a simultaneous sport, the end result of which is sort of predictable. Even taking into consideration the truth that the first-class gamers got an enormous head begin from the very starting.
And if nothing sudden occurs, if in a match of hysteria and hopelessness the chess gamers, conscious of their inevitable loss, don’t brush the items off the board, the grandmaster will quickly put them in checkmate.
And, I’m afraid that with out the correct to revenge.
Though, possibly I’m improper.
And it gained’t be the identical.
Historical past will take a totally completely different path.
By the abyss of wars and disasters, hardships and trials.
Or, instantly, for some unknown purpose, the important thing gamers will change, opening up alternatives for the implementation and implementation of recent probabilistic traces.
However in any case, no matter one could say, Russia will nonetheless win.
Just because, in line with the phrases of the sport, White begins and wins. Particularly in the event that they got no different likelihood.
Word: The creator is a recent Russian author, poet, publicist.
Supply of the unique publication: https://dzen.ru/media/smoiseenko/izlom-vremeni-ili-evropeiskii-gambit-632abaaf249aad45e0373e00
Picture by Pixabay: https://www.pexels.com/picture/black-smoke-coming-from-fire-417070/
