We are saying: The Swans have leapt from sixth to second and are primed to retain a top-two berth – and a house qualifying last – with victory over the Saints. They might nonetheless end prime 4 in the event that they lose supplied the Giants beat the Bulldogs or the Blues edge the Magpies. Nonetheless, they might slip from the highest 4 in the event that they lose and the Magpies, Dockers, Demons/Lions win.

3 Melbourne

Third: 15, 6 losses

60 factors 127.7%

Spherical 23: v Brisbane (Gabba)

Spherical 23: v Melbourne (Gabba)

We are saying: The Lions are in the identical boat because the Demons. Win and they’re within the prime 4, probably dealing with the Cats in a qualifying last, however they might slip to fifth or sixth if overwhelmed. The Lions are nonetheless shaky in defence however want this win to supply the boldness to show round their 1-5 win-loss file in finals over the previous three seasons.

5 Collingwood

Fifth: 15 wins, 6 losses

60 factors, 104.4%

Spherical 23: v Carlton (MCG)

We are saying: Has the Magpies’ bubble burst? That is as robust because it will get for tipsters in spherical 23. If Jordan De Goey is dominated out, becoming a member of livewire Jack Ginnivan, do the Magpies have sufficient left within the tank? They beat the Blues by 4 factors in spherical 11. Win, they usually end prime 4. Lose, and it may very well be an elimination last in opposition to Richmond.

6 Fremantle

Sixth: 14 wins, six losses, 1 draw

58 factors, 116.4%

Spherical 23: v GWS (Manuka Oval)

We are saying: The Dockers shrugged off the Eagles and at the moment are in play for the double likelihood ought to they beat the Giants, and the Magpies or the Swans lose. That they had been in a shaky spot a fortnight in the past however final week’s win over the Western Bulldogs has Justin Longmuir’s males eying a deep finals run.

7 Richmond

Seventh: 12 wins, 8 losses, 1 draw

50 factors, 118.7%

Spherical 23: v Essendon (MCG)

We are saying: The Tigers are not “killing” themselves, and manhandled the Hawks within the method of a workforce nonetheless believing they will win all of it. They’ve all of the belongings required for a deep finals run – notably if Dustin Martin is match. The Bombers are a multitude and ought to be roadkill, leaving the Tigers to complete in both seventh or eighth, and probably face the Magpies in an elimination last.

8 Carlton

Eighth: 12 wins, 9 losses

48 factors, 108.8%

Spherical 23: v Collingwood (MCG)

We are saying: The stumbling Blues (3-6 win-loss file of their previous 9 video games) ought to have already rubber-stamped their top-eight spot – the loss to Melbourne might have a long-lasting stench – however it’s now come right down to this. Win, and they’re in. Lose, they usually may nonetheless sneak in relying on how the Bulldogs and even the Saints go. The Blues didn’t have Harry McKay after they met the Pies in spherical 11, and Jacob Weitering was harm early. We’re backing them in.

9 Western Bulldogs

Ninth: 11 wins, 10 losses

44 factors, 107.9%

Spherical 23: v Hawthorn (Launceston)

We are saying: We tipped the Bulldogs to overlook the eight, and that’s nonetheless in play. They need to defeat the Hawks in Launceston and depend on the Blues shedding. That they’re only one.1% behind the Blues provides to the intrigue.

10 St Kilda

Tenth: 11 wins, 10 losses

44 factors, 100.1%

Spherical 23: v Sydney (SCG)

We are saying: We had the Saints additionally lacking the eight, however they continue to be a mathematical likelihood. Nonetheless, they want a miracle, the loss to Brisbane all however ending their season. They need to defeat the Swans by a big margin, and depend on the Bulldogs and Carlton shedding by main margins.

Preserve updated with the very best AFL protection within the nation. Join the Actual Footy publication.