Inflation much less disastrous than feared, however underlying measures rise

The Shopper Value Index (CPI) rose 1.8% within the June quarter, just below market forecasts, however nonetheless lifting annual inflation to six.1%. The June end result was the second highest because the introduction of the GST, however decrease than the March results of 2.1%.

Underlying measures, which the Reserve Financial institution watches intently, additionally rose: the trimmed imply reached 4.9%, whereas the weighted median reached 4.2%.

The marginally decrease end result will complicate the RBA’s considering on its subsequent price rise at Tuesday’s board assembly, and can elevate the chance {that a} 0.25% enhance is required moderately than one other 0.5% slug. Inflation right here has a six in entrance of it in comparison with an eight or 9 within the US and the UK, and should have peaked, although vitality prices equivalent to greater electrical energy and gasoline costs are but to feed by way of into family payments — that’s occurring within the present quarter — and persevering with dangerous climate will preserve meals costs greater. Meals costs had been a contributor to the end result — rising 2% within the June quarter — however the massive contributors had been housing prices (5.6%) and petrol (4.2%).